Although the countries of the Caribbean Community (Caricom) will continue to enjoy broad political stability in the outlook period, there is a risk of increased volatility as most countries endure deep recessions and unemployment rises. As governments attempt to deal with severe fiscal constraints amid rising levels of public debt, inequality and poverty levels will rise, reversing much of the progress made in the past decade. However, the Economist Intelligence Unit does not expect rising discontent to threaten the region's long democratic tradition; most of the region's governments are expected to serve out their full parliamentary terms, with several others opting for early elections to consolidate their parliamentary positions. Earnings from the tourism sector, the region's main source of employment and foreign exchange, will fall dramatically in the outlook period as the US and UK suffer recessions in 2009; growth will be minimal in 2010. The public finances will come under increased pressure in the context of recessions in most countries in 2009, depressing revenue collection. Extremely high levels of public debt threaten fiscal stability in an economic environment characterised by extremely tight liquidity. Throughout the region, the illegal drugs trade will continue to represent a threat to security and stability.