The long anticipated death of the president, Lansana Conte, in December 2008 has raised serious questions about what will replace the political system that existed under him. The Economist Intelligence Unit expects that the military junta, Conseil national pour la democratie et le developpement (CNDD), headed by Captain Moussa Dadis Camara, will eventually bend to domestic and international pressure and organise both legislative and presidential polls in 2010. However, there is a risk that internal squabbles within the CNDD could derail the democratic transition. In addition, it remains unclear whether Captain Camara will keep his promise of not standing in the forthcoming presidential poll. Real GDP growth is expected to contact in 2009 to 1%, as activity in the mining sector falls and the reduction in donor inflows affects the construction sector. However, real GDP growth is forecast to accelerate to 3% in 2010, as mining output recovers some ground and higher donor inflows boost private demand. Lower international oil and food prices will help inflation to fall to an average of 9% in 2009 and 7.5% in 2010.