The president, Paul Kagame, is expected to win re-election in August 2010 by a massive majority and there will be little real political opposition to the governing Rwandan Patriotic Front (RPF). Diplomatic relations with the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) will be warmer but it is increasingly unlikely that the Congolese government will invite the Rwandan army back into eastern DRC to combat the Forces democratiques de liberation du Rwanda (FDLR; an anti-Rwandan government militia), which will slowly rebuild its strength. Real GDP growth is forecast at 6% in 2010, picking up to 7.5% in 2011 on the back of increased agricultural production and higher external demand. The inflation rate is forecast to average 8.5% in 2010-11 but this remains vulnerable to changing weather patterns and the risk is on the upside. Trade, particularly with the East African Community, will pick up and the current-account deficit is forecast to remain at around 6% of GDP in 2010-11.